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J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn [JOURNAL]

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Note on importance of correct stoichiometric assumptions for modeling of monoclonal antibodies.

Gibiansky L, Gibiansky E

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38700803 · Publisher ↗

Pharmacokinetic modeling of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) with non-linear binding is based on equations of the target-mediated drug disposition (Mager and Jusko, J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 28:507-532, 2001). These equati... Pharmacokinetic modeling of monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) with non-linear binding is based on equations of the target-mediated drug disposition (Mager and Jusko, J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 28:507-532, 2001). These equations demonstrated their utility in countless examples and drug development programs. The model assumes that the mAb drug and the target have only one binding site each while, in reality, most antibodies have two binding sites. Thus, the currently used model does not correspond to the biological process that it aims to describe. The correct mechanistic model should take into account both binding sites. We investigated, using simulations, whether this discrepancy is important and when it is advisable to use a model with correct stoichiometric 2-to-1 ratio. We show that for soluble targets when elimination rate of the drug-target complex is comparable with the elimination rate of the drug or lower, and when measurements of both total drug and total target concentrations are available, the model with 1-to-1 (monovalent) binding cannot describe data simulated from the model with 2-to-1 (bivalent) binding. In these cases, models with correct stoichiometric assumptions may be necessary for an adequate description of the observed data. Also, a model with allosteric binding that encompasses both 2-to-1 and 1-to-1 binding models as particular cases was proposed and applied. It was shown to be identifiable given the detailed concentration data of total drug and total target.

Translational two-pore PBPK model to characterize whole-body disposition of different-size endogenous and exogenous proteins.

Liu S, Li Y, Li Z … +3 more , Wu S, Harrold JM, Shah DK

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Oct · PMID 38691205 · Publisher ↗

Two-pore physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling has demonstrated its potential in describing the pharmacokinetics (PK) of different-size proteins. However, all existing two-pore models lack either diverse... Two-pore physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling has demonstrated its potential in describing the pharmacokinetics (PK) of different-size proteins. However, all existing two-pore models lack either diverse proteins for validation or interspecies extrapolation. To fill the gap, here we have developed and optimized a translational two-pore PBPK model that can characterize plasma and tissue disposition of different-size proteins in mice, rats, monkeys, and humans. Datasets used for model development include more than 15 types of proteins: IgG (150 kDa), F(ab)2 (100 kDa), minibody (80 kDa), Fc-containing proteins (205, 200, 110, 105, 92, 84, 81, 65, or 60 kDa), albumin conjugate (85.7 kDa), albumin (67 kDa), Fab (50 kDa), diabody (50 kDa), scFv (27 kDa), dAb2 (23.5 kDa), proteins with an albumin-binding domain (26, 23.5, 22, 16, 14, or 13 kDa), nanobody (13 kDa), and other proteins (110, 65, or 60 kDa). The PBPK model incorporates: (i) molecular weight (MW)-dependent extravasation through large and small pores via diffusion and filtration, (ii) MW-dependent renal filtration, (iii) endosomal FcRn-mediated protection from catabolism for IgG and albumin-related modalities, and (iv) competition for FcRn binding from endogenous IgG and albumin. The finalized model can well characterize PK of most of these proteins, with area under the curve predicted within two-fold error. The model also provides insights into contribution of renal filtration and lysosomal degradation towards total elimination of proteins, and contribution of paracellular convection/diffusion and transcytosis towards extravasation. The PBPK model presented here represents a cross-modality, cross-species platform that can be used for development of novel biologics.

Evaluation of ChatGPT and Gemini large language models for pharmacometrics with NONMEM.

Shin E, Yu Y, Bies RR … +1 more , Ramanathan M

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Jun · PMID 38656706 · Publisher ↗

To assess ChatGPT 4.0 (ChatGPT) and Gemini Ultra 1.0 (Gemini) large language models on NONMEM coding tasks relevant to pharmacometrics and clinical pharmacology. ChatGPT and Gemini were assessed on tasks mimicking real-w... To assess ChatGPT 4.0 (ChatGPT) and Gemini Ultra 1.0 (Gemini) large language models on NONMEM coding tasks relevant to pharmacometrics and clinical pharmacology. ChatGPT and Gemini were assessed on tasks mimicking real-world applications of NONMEM. The tasks ranged from providing a curriculum for learning NONMEM, an overview of NONMEM code structure to generating code. Prompts in lay language to elicit NONMEM code for a linear pharmacokinetic (PK) model with oral administration and a more complex model with two parallel first-order absorption mechanisms were investigated. Reproducibility and the impact of "temperature" hyperparameter settings were assessed. The code was reviewed by two NONMEM experts. ChatGPT and Gemini provided NONMEM curriculum structures combining foundational knowledge with advanced concepts (e.g., covariate modeling and Bayesian approaches) and practical skills including NONMEM code structure and syntax. ChatGPT provided an informative summary of the NONMEM control stream structure and outlined the key NONMEM Translator (NM-TRAN) records needed. ChatGPT and Gemini were able to generate code blocks for the NONMEM control stream from the lay language prompts for the two coding tasks. The control streams contained focal structural and syntax errors that required revision before they could be executed without errors and warnings. The code output from ChatGPT and Gemini was not reproducible, and varying the temperature hyperparameter did not reduce the errors and omissions substantively. Large language models may be useful in pharmacometrics for efficiently generating an initial coding template for modeling projects. However, the output can contain errors and omissions that require correction.

Target-mediated drug disposition model for drugs with N > 2 binding sites that bind to a target with one binding site.

Gibiansky L, Ng CM, Gibiansky E

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Dec · PMID 38639818 · Publisher ↗

The paper extended the TMDD model to drugs with more than two (N > 2) identical binding sites (N-to-one TMDD). The quasi-steady-state (N-to-one QSS), quasi-equilibrium (N-to-one QE), irreversible binding (N-to-one IB), a... The paper extended the TMDD model to drugs with more than two (N > 2) identical binding sites (N-to-one TMDD). The quasi-steady-state (N-to-one QSS), quasi-equilibrium (N-to-one QE), irreversible binding (N-to-one IB), and Michaelis-Menten (N-to-one MM) approximations of the model were derived. To illustrate properties of new equations and approximations, N = 4 case was investigated numerically. Using simulations, the N-to-one QSS approximation was compared with the full N-to-one TMDD model. As expected, and similarly to the standard TMDD for monoclonal antibodies (mAb), N-to-one QSS predictions were nearly identical to N-to-one TMDD predictions, except for times of fast changes following initiation of dosing, when equilibrium has not yet been reached. Predictions for mAbs with soluble targets (slow elimination of the complex) were simulated from the full 4-to-one TMDD model and were fitted to the 4-to-one TMDD model and to its QSS approximation. It was demonstrated that the 4-to-one QSS model provided nearly identical description of not only the observed (simulated) total drug and total target concentrations, but also unobserved concentrations of the free drug, free target, and drug-target complexes. For mAb with a membrane-bound target, the 4-to-one MM approximation adequately described the data. The 4-to-one QSS approximation converged 8 times faster than the full 4-to-one TMDD.

A systematic evaluation of population pharmacokinetic models for polymyxin B in patients with liver and/or kidney dysfunction.

Li X, Cheng Y, Zhang B … +9 more , Chen B, Chen Y, Huang Y, Lin H, Zhou L, Zhang H, Liu M, Que W, Qiu H

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Dec · PMID 38625507 · Publisher ↗

Polymyxin B (PMB) is considered a last-line treatment for multidrug-resistant (MDR) gram-negative bacterial infections. Model-informed precision dosing with population pharmacokinetics (PopPK) models could help to indivi... Polymyxin B (PMB) is considered a last-line treatment for multidrug-resistant (MDR) gram-negative bacterial infections. Model-informed precision dosing with population pharmacokinetics (PopPK) models could help to individualize PMB dosing regimens and improve therapy. However, the external prediction ability of the established PopPK models has not been fully elaborated. This study aimed to systemically evaluate eleven PMB PopPK models from ten published literature based on a new independent population, which was divided into four different populations, patients with liver dysfunction, kidney dysfunction, liver and kidney dysfunction, and normal liver and kidney function. The whole data set consisted of 146 patients with 391 PMB concentrations. The prediction- and simulation-based diagnostics and Bayesian forecasting were conducted to evaluate model predictability. In the overall evaluation process, none of the models exhibited satisfactory predictive ability in both prediction- and simulation-based diagnostic simultaneously. However, the evaluation of the models in the subgroup of patients with normal liver and kidney function revealed improved predictive performance compared to those with liver and/or kidney dysfunction. Bayesian forecasting demonstrated enhanced predictability with the incorporation of two to three prior observations. The external evaluation highlighted a lack of consistency between the prediction results of published models and the external validation dataset. Nonetheless, Bayesian forecasting holds promise in improving the predictive performance of the models, and feedback from therapeutic drug monitoring is crucial in optimizing individual dosing regimens.

Five multivariate Duchenne muscular dystrophy progression models bridging six-minute walk distance and MRI relaxometry of leg muscles.

Yoon DY, Daniels MJ, Willcocks RJ … +7 more , Triplett WT, Morales JF, Walter GA, Rooney WD, Vandenborne K, Kim S, DMD MR Biomarker Steering Committee

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Dec · PMID 38609673 · Full text

The study aimed to provide quantitative information on the utilization of MRI transverse relaxation time constant (MRI-T) of leg muscles in DMD clinical trials by developing multivariate disease progression models of Duc... The study aimed to provide quantitative information on the utilization of MRI transverse relaxation time constant (MRI-T) of leg muscles in DMD clinical trials by developing multivariate disease progression models of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) using 6-min walk distance (6MWD) and MRI-T. Clinical data were collected from the prospective and longitudinal ImagingNMD study. Disease progression models were developed by a nonlinear mixed-effect modeling approach. Univariate models of 6MWD and MRI-T of five muscles were developed separately. Age at assessment was the time metric. Multivariate models were developed by estimating the correlation of 6MWD and MRI-T model variables. Full model estimation approach for covariate analysis and five-fold cross validation were conducted. Simulations were performed to compare the models and predict the covariate effects on the trajectories of 6MWD and MRI-T. Sigmoid I and E models best captured the profiles of 6MWD and MRI-T over age. Steroid use, baseline 6MWD, and baseline MRI-T were significant covariates. The median age at which 6MWD is half of its maximum decrease in the five models was similar, while the median age at which MRI-T is half of its maximum increase varied depending on the type of muscle. The models connecting 6MWD and MRI-T successfully quantified how individual characteristics alter disease trajectories. The models demonstrate a plausible correlation between 6MWD and MRI-T, supporting the use of MRI-T. The developed models will guide drug developers in using the MRI-T to most efficient use in DMD clinical trials.

Impact of covariate model building methods on their clinical relevance evaluation in population pharmacokinetic analyses: comparison of the full model, stepwise covariate model (SCM) and SCM+ approaches.

Philipp M, Buatois S, Retout S … +1 more , Mentré F

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Dec · PMID 38594569 · Publisher ↗

Covariate analysis in population pharmacokinetics is key for adjusting doses for patients. The main objective of this work was to compare the adequacy of various modeling approaches on covariate clinical relevance decisi... Covariate analysis in population pharmacokinetics is key for adjusting doses for patients. The main objective of this work was to compare the adequacy of various modeling approaches on covariate clinical relevance decision-making. The full model, stepwise covariate model (SCM) and SCM+ PsN algorithms were compared in a clinical trial simulation of a 383-patient population pharmacokinetic study mixing rich and sparse designs. A one-compartment model with first-order absorption was used. A base model including a body weight effect on CL/F and V/F and a covariate model including 4 additional covariates-parameters relationships were simulated. As for forest plots, ratios between covariates at a specific value and that of a typical individual were calculated with their 90% confidence interval (CI90) using standard errors. Covariates on CL, V and KA were considered relevant if their CI90 fell completely outside the reference area [0.8-1.2]. All approaches provided unbiased covariate ratio estimates. For covariates with a simulated effect, the 3 approaches correctly identify their clinical relevance. However, significant covariates were missed in up to 15% of cases with SCM/SCM+. For covariate with no simulated effects, the full model mainly identified them as non-relevant or with insufficient information while SCM/SCM+ mainly did not select them. SCM/SCM+ assume that non-selected covariates are non-relevant when it could be due to insufficient information, whereas the full model does not make this assumption and is faster. This study must be extended to other methods and completed by a more complex high-dimensional simulation framework.

Model-based comparison of subcutaneous versus sublingual apomorphine administration in the treatment of motor fluctuations in Parkinson's disease.

Nasser A, Gomeni R, Ceresoli-Borroni G … +4 more , Xie L, Busse GD, Melyan Z, Rubin J

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38578533 · Full text

The objective of this study was to compare the effectiveness of subcutaneous (SC) and sublingual (SL) formulations of apomorphine for the treatment of motor fluctuations in Parkinson's disease using a pharmacokinetics (P... The objective of this study was to compare the effectiveness of subcutaneous (SC) and sublingual (SL) formulations of apomorphine for the treatment of motor fluctuations in Parkinson's disease using a pharmacokinetics (PK)/pharmacodynamics (PD) modeling approach. The PK of SC and SL apomorphine are best described by a one-compartment model with first-order absorption and a two-compartment model with delayed absorption, respectively. The PK/PD model relating apomorphine plasma concentrations to the Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (UPDRS) motor scores was described by a sigmoidal E model assuming effective concentration = drug concentration in an effect compartment. Apomorphine concentrations and UPDRS motor scores were simulated from the PK/PD models using 500 hypothetical subjects. UPDRS motor score change from baseline was evaluated using time to clinically relevant response, response duration, area under the curve, maximal response, and time to maximal response. Higher doses of each apomorphine formulation were associated with shorter time to response, longer response duration, and greater maximal response. Although the mean maximal responses to SC and SL apomorphine were comparable, the time to response was four times shorter (7 vs. 31 min) and time to maximal response was two times shorter (27 vs. 61 min) for 4 mg SC vs. 50 mg SL. Thus, faster onset of action was observed for the SC formulation compared to SL. These data may be useful for physicians when selecting "on demand" therapy for patients with Parkinson's disease experiencing motor fluctuations.

Docetaxel, cyclophosphamide, and epirubicin: application of PBPK modeling to gain new insights for drug-drug interactions.

Li T, Zhou S, Wang L … +3 more , Zhao T, Wang J, Shao F

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38554227 · Publisher ↗

The new adjuvant chemotherapy of docetaxel, epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide has been recommended for treating breast cancer. It is necessary to investigate the potential drug-drug Interactions (DDIs) since they have a n... The new adjuvant chemotherapy of docetaxel, epirubicin, and cyclophosphamide has been recommended for treating breast cancer. It is necessary to investigate the potential drug-drug Interactions (DDIs) since they have a narrow therapeutic window in which slight differences in exposure might result in significant differences in treatment efficacy and tolerability. To guide clinical rational drug use, this study aimed to evaluate the DDI potentials of docetaxel, cyclophosphamide, and epirubicin in cancer patients using physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models. The GastroPlus™ was used to develop the PBPK models, which were refined and validated with observed data. The established PBPK models accurately described the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of three drugs in cancer patients, and the predicted-to-observed ratios of all the PK parameters met the acceptance criterion. The PBPK model predicted no significant changes in plasma concentrations of these drugs during co-administration, which was consistent with the observed clinical phenomenon. Besides, the verified PBPK models were then used to predict the effect of other Cytochrome P450 3A4 (CYP3A4) inhibitors/inducers on these drug exposures. In the DDI simulation, strong CYP3A4 modulators changed the exposure of three drugs by 0.71-1.61 fold. Therefore, patients receiving these drugs in combination with strong CYP3A4 inhibitors should be monitored regularly to prevent adverse reactions. Furthermore, co-administration of docetaxel, cyclophosphamide, or epirubicin with strong CYP3A4 inducers should be avoided. In conclusion, the PBPK models can be used to further investigate the DDI potential of each drug and to develop dosage recommendations for concurrent usage by additional perpetrators or victims.

Longitudinal modeling of efficacy response in patients with lupus nephritis receiving belimumab.

Simeoni M, Yang S, Tompson DJ … +1 more , Dimelow R

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Jun · PMID 38551711 · Full text

Belimumab was approved for active lupus nephritis (LN) in adults in the European Union and patients ≥ 5 years of age in the USA based on a Phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 104-week study. The study evaluated th... Belimumab was approved for active lupus nephritis (LN) in adults in the European Union and patients ≥ 5 years of age in the USA based on a Phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 104-week study. The study evaluated the efficacy of belimumab plus background standard therapy in adults with active LN using an intravenous (IV) dose of 10 mg/kg. A longitudinal analysis of Primary Efficacy Renal Response (PERR) and Complete Renal Response (CRR) was performed to assess whether patients with high proteinuria at the start of belimumab treatment would benefit from a higher dose. Responder probability was modeled as a logistic regression with probability a function of time and treatment (belimumab or placebo). Dropout risk at each visit was incorporated into a joint model of efficacy response; only efficacy data prior to dropout events (belimumab discontinuation, treatment failure, or withdrawal) were included. Average belimumab concentration over the first 4 and 12 weeks and baseline proteinuria were considered as continuous covariates. In general, renal response (PERR and CRR) over time was higher in patients receiving belimumab than in those receiving placebo. Baseline proteinuria was considered the most relevant predictor of renal response, with reduced efficacy in patients with increased proteinuria for both belimumab or placebo treatment. For belimumab-treated patients, belimumab exposure was not found to be an important predictor of renal response. In conclusion, the 10 mg/kg IV dose was considered appropriate in all patients and there was no evidence to suggest a higher response would be achieved by increasing the dose.

On inductive biases for the robust and interpretable prediction of drug concentrations using deep compartment models.

Janssen A, Bennis FC, Cnossen MH … +2 more , Mathôt RAA, OPTI-CLOT Study Group and SYMPHONY Consortium

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38532084 · Full text

Conventional pharmacokinetic (PK) models contain several useful inductive biases guiding model convergence to more realistic predictions of drug concentrations. Implementing similar biases in standard neural networks can... Conventional pharmacokinetic (PK) models contain several useful inductive biases guiding model convergence to more realistic predictions of drug concentrations. Implementing similar biases in standard neural networks can be challenging, but might be fundamental for model robustness and predictive performance. In this study, we build on the deep compartment model (DCM) architecture by introducing constraints that guide the model to explore more physiologically realistic solutions. Using a simulation study, we show that constraints improve robustness in sparse data settings. Additionally, predicted concentration-time curves took on more realistic shapes compared to unconstrained models. Next, we propose the use of multi-branch networks, where each covariate can be connected to specific PK parameters, to reduce the propensity of models to learn spurious effects. Another benefit of this architecture is that covariate effects are isolated, enabling model interpretability through the visualization of learned functions. We show that all models were sensitive to learning false effects when trained in the presence of unimportant covariates, indicating the importance of selecting an appropriate set of covariates to link to the PK parameters. Finally, we compared the predictive performance of the constrained models to previous relevant population PK models on a real-world data set of 69 haemophilia A patients. Here, constrained models obtained higher accuracy compared to the standard DCM, with the multi-branch network outperforming previous PK models. We conclude that physiological-based constraints can improve model robustness. We describe an interpretable architecture which aids model trust, which will be key for the adoption of machine learning-based models in clinical practice.

Maximum a posteriori Bayesian methods out-perform non-compartmental analysis for busulfan precision dosing.

Hughes JH, Long-Boyle J, Keizer RJ

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Jun · PMID 38520573 · Full text

Dose personalization improves patient outcomes for many drugs with a narrow therapeutic index and high inter-individuality variability, including busulfan. Non-compartmental analysis (NCA) and model-based methods like ma... Dose personalization improves patient outcomes for many drugs with a narrow therapeutic index and high inter-individuality variability, including busulfan. Non-compartmental analysis (NCA) and model-based methods like maximum a posteriori Bayesian (MAP) approaches are two methods routinely used for dose optimization. These approaches vary in how they estimate patient-specific pharmacokinetic parameters to inform a dose and the impact of these differences is not well-understood. Using busulfan as an example application and area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) as a target exposure metric, these estimation methods were compared using retrospective patient data (N = 246) and simulated precision dosing treatment courses. NCA was performed with or without peak extension, and MAP Bayesian estimation was performed using either the one-compartment Shukla model or the two-compartment McCune model. All methods showed good agreement on real-world data (correlation coefficients of 0.945-0.998) as assessed by Bland-Altman plots, although agreement between NCA and MAP methods was higher during the first dosing interval (0.982-0.994) compared to subsequent dosing intervals (0.918-0.938). In dose adjustment simulations, both NCA and MAP estimated high target attainment (> 98%) although true simulated target attainment was lower for NCA (63-66%) versus MAP (91-93%). The largest differences in AUC estimation were due to different assumptions for the shape of the concentration curve during the infusion phase, followed by how the methods considered time-dependent clearance and concentration-time points collected in earlier intervals. In conclusion, although AUC estimates between the two methods showed good correlation, in a simulated study, MAP lead to higher target attainment. When changing from one method to another, or changing infusion duration and other factors, optimum estimated exposure targets may require adjusting to maintain a consistent exposure.

Oral docetaxel plus encequidar - A pharmacokinetic model and evaluation against IV docetaxel.

Wang D, Jackson C, Hung N … +7 more , Hung T, Kwan R, Chan WK, Qin A, Hughes-Medlicott NJ, Glue P, Duffull S

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38504032 · Full text

UNLABELLED: The development of optimized dosing regimens plays a crucial role in oncology drug development. This study focused on the population pharmacokinetic modelling and simulation of docetaxel, comparing the pharma... UNLABELLED: The development of optimized dosing regimens plays a crucial role in oncology drug development. This study focused on the population pharmacokinetic modelling and simulation of docetaxel, comparing the pharmacokinetic exposure of oral docetaxel plus encequidar (oDox + E) with the standard of care intravenous (IV) docetaxel regimen. The aim was to evaluate the feasibility of oDox + E as a potential alternative to IV docetaxel. The article demonstrates an approach which aligns with the FDA's Project Optimus which aims to improve oncology drug development through model informed drug development (MIDD). The key question answered by this study was whether a feasible regimen of oDox + E existed. The purpose of this question was to provide an early GO / NO-GO decision point to guide drug development and improve development efficiency. METHODS:  A stepwise approach was employed to develop a population pharmacokinetic model for total and unbound docetaxel plasma concentrations after IV docetaxel and oDox + E administration. Simulations were performed from the final model to assess the probability of target attainment (PTA) for different oDox + E dose regimens (including multiple dose regimens) in relation to IV docetaxel using AUC over effective concentration (AUCOEC) metric across a range of effective concentrations (EC). A Go / No-Go framework was defined-the first part of the framework assessed whether a feasible oDox + E regimen existed (i.e., a PTA ≥ 80%), and the second part defined the conditions to proceed with a Go decision. RESULTS:  The overall population pharmacokinetic model consisted of a 3-compartment model with linear elimination, constant bioavailability, constant binding mechanics, and a combined error model. Simulations revealed that single dose oDox + E regimens did not achieve a PTA greater than 80%. However, two- and three-dose regimens at 600 mg achieved PTAs exceeding 80% for certain EC levels. CONCLUSION:  The study demonstrates the benefits of MIDD using oDox + E as a motivating example. A population pharmacokinetic model was developed for the total and unbound concentration in plasma of docetaxel after administration of IV docetaxel and oDox + E. The model was used to simulate oDox + E dose regimens which were compared to the current standard of care IV docetaxel regimen. A GO / NO-GO framework was applied to determine whether oDox + E should progress to the next phase of drug development and whether any conditions should apply. A two or three-dose regimen of oDox + E at 600 mg was able to achieve non-inferior pharmacokinetic exposure to current standard of care IV docetaxel in simulations. A Conditional GO decision was made based on this result and further quantification of the "effective concentration" would improve the ability to optimise the dose regimen.

Predicting efficacy assessment of combined treatment of radiotherapy and nivolumab for NSCLC patients through virtual clinical trials using QSP modeling.

Schirru M, Charef H, Ismaili KE … +4 more , Fenneteau F, Zugaj D, Tremblay PO, Nekka F

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Aug · PMID 38493439 · Publisher ↗

Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) remains one of the main causes of cancer death worldwide. In the urge of finding an effective approach to treat cancer, enormous therapeutic targets and treatment combinations are explo... Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) remains one of the main causes of cancer death worldwide. In the urge of finding an effective approach to treat cancer, enormous therapeutic targets and treatment combinations are explored in clinical studies, which are not only costly, suffer from a shortage of participants, but also unable to explore all prospective therapeutic solutions. Within the evolving therapeutic landscape, the combined use of radiotherapy (RT) and checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) emerged as a promising avenue. Exploiting the power of quantitative system pharmacology (QSP), we undertook a study to anticipate the therapeutic outcomes of these interventions, aiming to address the limitations of clinical trials. After enhancing a pre-existing QSP platform and accurately replicating clinical data outcomes, we conducted an in-depth study, examining different treatment protocols with nivolumab and RT, both as monotherapy and in combination, by assessing their efficacy through clinical endpoints, namely time to progression (TTP) and duration of response (DOR). As result, the synergy of combined protocols showcased enhanced TTP and extended DOR, suggesting dual advantages of extended response and slowed disease progression with certain combined regimens. Through the lens of QSP modeling, our findings highlight the potential to fine-tune combination therapies for NSCLC, thereby providing pivotal insights for tailoring patient-centric therapeutic interventions.

An industry perspective on current QSP trends in drug development.

Cucurull-Sanchez L

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Oct · PMID 38443663 · Full text

2023 marks the 10th anniversary of Natpara's submission to the US FDA, which led to the first recorded regulatory interaction where a decision was supported by Quantitative and Systems Pharmacology (QSP) simulations. It... 2023 marks the 10th anniversary of Natpara's submission to the US FDA, which led to the first recorded regulatory interaction where a decision was supported by Quantitative and Systems Pharmacology (QSP) simulations. It had taken about 5 years for the timid QSP discipline to emerge as an effective Model-Informed Drug Development (MIDD) tool with visible impact in the pharmaceutical industry. Since then, the presence of QSP in the regulatory environment has continued to increase, to the point that the Agency reported 60 QSP submissions in 2020 alone, representing ~ 4% of their annual IND submissions [1]. What sort of industry mindset has enabled QSP to reach this level of success? How does QSP fit within the MIDD paradigm? Does QSP mean the same to Discovery and to Clinical Development projects? How do 'platforms' compare to 'fit-for-purpose' QSP models in an industrial setting? Can QSP and empirical Pharmacokinetic-Pharmacodynamic (PKPD) modelling be complementary? What level of validation is required to inform drug development decisions? This article reflects on all these questions, in particular addressing those audiences with limited line-of-sight into the drug industry decision-making machinery.

Employing zero-inflated beta distribution in an exposure-response analysis of TYK2/JAK1 inhibitor brepocitinib in patients with plaque psoriasis.

Tsamandouras N, Qiu R, Hughes JH … +4 more , Sweeney K, Prybylski JP, Banfield C, Nicholas T

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Jun · PMID 38431923 · Full text

Brepocitinib is an oral selective dual TYK2/JAK1 inhibitor and based on its cytokine inhibition profile is expected to provide therapeutic benefit in the treatment of plaque psoriasis. Efficacy data from a completed Phas... Brepocitinib is an oral selective dual TYK2/JAK1 inhibitor and based on its cytokine inhibition profile is expected to provide therapeutic benefit in the treatment of plaque psoriasis. Efficacy data from a completed Phase 2a study in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis were utilized to develop a population exposure-response model that can be employed to inform dose selection decisions for further clinical development. A modeling approach that employs the zero-inflated beta distribution was used to account for the bounded nature and distributional characteristics of the Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI) score data. The developed exposure-response model provided an adequate description of the observed PASI scores across all the treatment arms tested and across both the induction and maintenance dosing periods of the study. In addition, the developed model exhibited a good predictive capacity with regard to the derived responder metrics (e.g., 75%/90%/100% improvement in PASI score [PASI75/90/100]). Clinical trial simulations indicated that the induction/maintenance dosing paradigm explored in this study does not offer any advantages from an efficacy perspective and that doses of 10, 30, and 60 mg once-daily may be suitable candidates for clinical evaluation in subsequent Phase 2b studies.

Fourteenth American Conference on Pharmacometrics (ACoP14) - Innovation and Diversity: Redefining Pharmacometrics.

Ait-Oudhia S

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Apr · PMID 38418661 · Publisher ↗

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A minimal physiologically based pharmacokinetic model to study the combined effect of antibody size, charge, and binding affinity to FcRn/antigen on antibody pharmacokinetics.

Patidar K, Pillai N, Dhakal S … +2 more , Avery LB, Mavroudis PD

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Oct · PMID 38400996 · Full text

Protein therapeutics have revolutionized the treatment of a wide range of diseases. While they have distinct physicochemical characteristics that influence their absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME)... Protein therapeutics have revolutionized the treatment of a wide range of diseases. While they have distinct physicochemical characteristics that influence their absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) properties, the relationship between the physicochemical properties and PK is still largely unknown. In this work we present a minimal physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (mPBPK) model that incorporates a multivariate quantitative relation between a therapeutic's physicochemical parameters and its corresponding ADME properties. The model's compound-specific input includes molecular weight, molecular size (Stoke's radius), molecular charge, binding affinity to FcRn, and specific antigen affinity. Through derived and fitted empirical relationships, the model demonstrates the effect of these compound-specific properties on antibody disposition in both plasma and peripheral tissues using observed PK data in mice and humans. The mPBPK model applies the two-pore hypothesis to predict size-based clearance and exposure of full-length antibodies (150 kDa) and antibody fragments (50-100 kDa) within a onefold error. We quantitatively relate antibody charge and PK parameters like uptake rate, non-specific binding affinity, and volume of distribution to capture the relatively faster clearance of positively charged mAb as compared to negatively charged mAb. The model predicts the terminal plasma clearance of slightly positively and negatively charged antibody in humans within a onefold error. The mPBPK model presented in this work can be used to predict the target-mediated disposition of a drug when compound-specific and target-specific properties are known. To our knowledge, a combined effect of antibody weight, size, charge, FcRn, and antigen has not been incorporated and studied in a single mPBPK model previously. By conclusively incorporating and relating a multitude of protein's physicochemical properties to observed PK, our mPBPK model aims to contribute as a platform approach in the early stages of drug development where many of these properties can be optimized to improve a molecule's PK and ultimately its efficacy.

Subgroup identification-based model selection to improve the predictive performance of individualized dosing.

Soeorg H, Kalamees R, Lutsar I … +1 more , Metsvaht T

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Jun · PMID 38400995 · Publisher ↗

Currently, model-informed precision dosing uses one population pharmacokinetic model that best fits the target population. We aimed to develop a subgroup identification-based model selection approach to improve the predi... Currently, model-informed precision dosing uses one population pharmacokinetic model that best fits the target population. We aimed to develop a subgroup identification-based model selection approach to improve the predictive performance of individualized dosing, using vancomycin in neonates/infants as a test case. Data from neonates/infants with at least one vancomycin concentration was randomly divided into training and test dataset. Population predictions from published vancomycin population pharmacokinetic models were calculated. The single best-performing model based on various performance metrics, including median absolute percentage error (APE) and percentage of predictions within 20% (P20) or 60% (P60) of measurement, were determined. Clustering based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm was used to group neonates/infants according to their best-performing model. Subsequently, classification trees to predict the best-performing model using clinical and demographic characteristics were developed. A total of 208 vancomycin treatment episodes in training and 88 in test dataset was included. Of 30 identified models from the literature, the single best-performing model for training dataset had P20 26.2-42.6% in test dataset. The best-performing clustering approach based on median APEs or clinical and demographic characteristics and model selection by genetic algorithm had P20 44.1-45.5% in test dataset, whereas P60 was comparable. Our proof-of-concept study shows that the prediction of the best-performing model for each patient according to the proposed model selection approaches has the potential to improve the predictive performance of model-informed precision dosing compared with the single best-performing model approach.

Thoughts on plagiarism and the case against Claudine Gay.

Bonate PL

J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn · 2024 Feb · PMID 38361153 · Publisher ↗

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