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Biodemography And Social Biology[JOURNAL]

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Assessing income heterogeneity of female sex as risk factor for long COVID: a meta-analytic investigation.

Datta B, Jaremski JE, Wilkins AS … +1 more , Hoffman Z

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 42247671 · Publisher ↗

Women have a higher risk of Long COVID, defined as symptoms persisting for three or more months after SARS-CoV-2 infection. This study examines whether the elevated risk of Long COVID among women varies across income sub... Women have a higher risk of Long COVID, defined as symptoms persisting for three or more months after SARS-CoV-2 infection. This study examines whether the elevated risk of Long COVID among women varies across income subgroups in a nationally representative sample of the U.S. population. Using data from the 2023 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we estimated adjusted odds ratios for Long COVID associated with female sex, stratified by four age categories and 11 income groups. We conducted random-effects meta-analyses of income subgroup estimates within each age category and assessed heterogeneity using Cochran's Q, I statistics, prediction intervals, and Galbraith plots. Among younger age groups (18-34, 35-49, and 50-64 years), Cochran's Q ranged from 7.70 to 10.98 ( > 0.10), and I was 0.00%, indicating no significant heterogeneity across income groups. In the ≥65 age group, Cochran's Q was 18.35 ( = 0.0494), and I was 21.96%, suggesting modest heterogeneity. The 95% prediction interval for the ≥65 group (1.121-1.978) was wider than those for younger groups: 1.437-1.975 (18-34 years), 1.551-2.019 (35-49 years), and 1.355-1.766 (50-64 years).

When contraception fails: unintended parenthood and gender gaps.

González FAI

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 42233728 · Publisher ↗

Parenthood fundamentally reshapes economic trajectories yet establishing causality remains methodologically challenging due to selection and timing endogeneity. This study introduces a novel identification strategy explo... Parenthood fundamentally reshapes economic trajectories yet establishing causality remains methodologically challenging due to selection and timing endogeneity. This study introduces a novel identification strategy exploiting contraceptive failures as an exogenous source of variation in parenthood status. Using nationally representative survey data, I compare individuals who experienced contraceptive failures resulting in births against those using contraception who did not conceive. The findings reveal a striking gender paradox: while motherhood substantially reduces women's unconditional employment probability by approximately 20 per cent and higher education attainment by 5 per cent, fatherhood increases men's employment likelihood by 7 per cent and educational achievement by 11 per cent. These effects are most pronounced during children's first decade, with maternal employment penalties disappearing after age 10, though educational gaps persist. If the identifying assumptions are satisfied, this suggests that first unintended parenthood may not fully explain persistent long-term gender disparities, though cumulative fertility and anticipatory effects remain important candidates. This research introduces contraceptive failure as a credible new identification strategy, documenting bidirectional gender effects that amplify inequality. The results challenge conventional policy approaches by revealing that gender gaps arise not only from maternal penalties but also from paternal premiums.

Genetic and phenotypic associations of social isolation and loneliness with sarcopenia.

Xu X, Zhang H, Jing F … +4 more , Guo Y, Chang Q, Gao T, Xu Z

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 42206996 · Publisher ↗

Social isolation and loneliness are recognized risk factors for adverse aging outcomes, but their effects on sarcopenia remain understudied. This study investigated the independent and combined effects of social isolatio... Social isolation and loneliness are recognized risk factors for adverse aging outcomes, but their effects on sarcopenia remain understudied. This study investigated the independent and combined effects of social isolation and loneliness on the risk of incident sarcopenia in two large prospective cohorts: CHARLS ( = 8,856) and ELSA ( = 5,561), including participants aged 50 years and older free of sarcopenia at baseline. Sarcopenia was defined using AWGS2019 and the Revised European Consensus criteria. During mean follow-ups of 3.7 years (CHARLS) and 3.9 years (ELSA), 1,431 and 331 incident sarcopenia cases were identified, respectively. Social isolation and loneliness were significantly associated with increased risk of sarcopenia in each cohort, and participants exposed to both had the highest risk. Population attributable fractions ranged from 5.6% to 14.4%. Mediation analysis revealed that the physical activity accounted for 6-9% of these associations. Mendelian randomization analyses further supported potential causal links, showing that predicted loneliness and isolation were associated with reduced grip strength and lower appendicular lean mass. These findings suggest that social isolation and loneliness are modifiable psychosocial risk factors for sarcopenia, partly mediated by physical inactivity. Public health efforts to prevent sarcopenia in older adults should include strategies to strengthen social connections and emotional well-being.

It's time to take the antinatalist variable seriously: new perspectives from procreation ethics and moral judgments.

Borbón D

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 42206766 · Publisher ↗

Declining birth rates and rising childlessness are commonly attributed to structural and life-course drivers, including economic insecurity, the direct and opportunity costs of childrearing, labor market conditions, part... Declining birth rates and rising childlessness are commonly attributed to structural and life-course drivers, including economic insecurity, the direct and opportunity costs of childrearing, labor market conditions, partnership dynamics, and work-family incompatibility. While these variables are the traditional elements used to describe the reasons behind decreasing birth rates, they do not fully capture an increasingly visible motivational domain: morally grounded evaluations of whether procreation is permissible under perceived social deterioration, climate change, or moral judgments over life, existence as harm, and suffering. refers here to the normative views that procreation is morally impermissible, either always or under a significant set of conditions. This could be understood as a measurable range of evaluative judgments both from conditional reasons and on stronger moral unconditional reasons. The article identifies a gap between traditional explanatory frameworks, and the moral content already present in stated reasons for deciding against procreation. The goal is not to elevate antinatalism as the dominant driver of fertility decline but to incorporate it into a more complete account of the current demographic phenomenon that deserves empirical investigation. Then, the incomplete picture that demographic research has calls upon the need to take the antinatalist variable seriously.

Understanding the fertility transition through Joel Mokyr's knowledge framework.

Matsuura H

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 41969177 · Publisher ↗

Abstract loading — click title to view on PubMed.

Late 19th- and early 20th- century urban net nutrition by gender and race.

Carson SA

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 41782305 · Publisher ↗

Individuals urbanize when the net benefits of urban living exceed those of rural conditions. Body mass index (BMI), height, and weight are measures of welfare that reflect the balance between caloric intake and the physi... Individuals urbanize when the net benefits of urban living exceed those of rural conditions. Body mass index (BMI), height, and weight are measures of welfare that reflect the balance between caloric intake and the physiological demands of labor and environmental conditions. Using 19th- and early 20th-century US prison records, this study illustrates that urban residents had lower BMIs, shorter stature, and lower body weight than rural residents. Urban nutritional outcomes varied by race: both white and black urban residents had lower BMIs, shorter stature, and lower weight relative to their rural counterparts. Net nutrition variation was greater among urban males compared to females, indicating that urbanization affected male net nutrition more than female nutritional status.

Decomposition of socioeconomic inequalities in fruit and vegetable consumption in Pakistan: A 20-Year analysis using copula-based decomposition.

Amjad M, Dong GP, Ahmad MA … +10 more , Zhang YT, He WT, Zhao K, Sun MK, Bao WW, Lin LZ, Gui ZH, Liu RQ, Hu LW, Dong GH

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 41666289 · Publisher ↗

This study examines changes in fruit and vegetable consumption (FVC) across socioeconomic groups in Pakistan over two decades, using data from the Household Integrated Income and Consumption Surveys (HIICS) conducted in... This study examines changes in fruit and vegetable consumption (FVC) across socioeconomic groups in Pakistan over two decades, using data from the Household Integrated Income and Consumption Surveys (HIICS) conducted in 1998-99 and 2018-19. Using a copula-based decomposition approach, the study disaggregates FVC inequality into structure and composition effects. The findings show an average per capita increase of 120.88 grams in FVC, with gains of 23.41, 20.86, and 153.31 grams at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles, respectively. This favorable change was mainly driven by compositional effects, particularly shifts in household income, size, and education. While higher income and larger households are positively associated with FVC, the education of the household head shows a negative association, warranting further investigation. To improve dietary quality and reduce the risk of chronic disease, the findings underscore that policy efforts should focus on income enhancement, targeted nutrition education - especially for larger households - and correcting misperceptions about the health benefits of fruits and vegetables. The findings suggest that policymakers should raise household income, promote nutrition education, and introduce fair food subsidies.

Impact of water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) on child stunting and wasting in India: A propensity score matching analysis from the National Family Health Survey.

Roy S, Gourav, Sharma R … +1 more , Basu S

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 41657072 · Publisher ↗

Stunting and wasting are major public health challenges in India, contributing to high child morbidity and mortality. Beyond inadequate nutrition, poor access to water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) is increasingly reco... Stunting and wasting are major public health challenges in India, contributing to high child morbidity and mortality. Beyond inadequate nutrition, poor access to water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) is increasingly recognized as a key risk factor. This study assessed the association between household WASH access and undernutrition among children under five years. We analyzed data on 143,467 under-5 children from the National Family Health Survey (2019-21). Undernutrition was defined using WHO growth standards for stunting, wasting, and underweight. Household WASH access was defined as improved drinking water, improved sanitation, and a handwashing facility. Kernel-based propensity score matching (PSM) estimated the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT). Undernutrition was consistently higher among children without WASH access (stunting 37% vs. 31%; wasting 19% vs. 17%; underweight 30% vs. 24%). After PSM, WASH access was significantly associated with reduced prevalence of stunting (ATT = -0.009, < 0.05) and underweight (ATT = -0.008, < 0.05), but not wasting. The protective effects were stronger among urban, wealthier households and female children, with no significant associations in rural or poorest households. Improved WASH access is modestly associated with lower stunting and underweight, highlighting the importance of equity-focused interventions.

Age-related variations in somatotype: a study on older adults in Türkiye.

Nalbant Ö, Gülsoy H, Özdemir Güler Z … +4 more , Özütürker S, Kılıç B, Ay F, Özgün Başibüyük G

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2026 · PMID 41511865 · Publisher ↗

This study aims to investigate the age and sex-related variations in somatotype among older adults in Türkiye using the Heath-Carter method. Anthropometric measurements were taken from 2128 participants (1,009 males and... This study aims to investigate the age and sex-related variations in somatotype among older adults in Türkiye using the Heath-Carter method. Anthropometric measurements were taken from 2128 participants (1,009 males and 1119 females) aged 65 and over, selected through stratified sampling from the seven regions of Türkiye. The findings indicated that the most prevalent somatotype in both sexes was Endo-Mesomorph, accounting for 50% of males and 58.1% of females. With advancing age, a decrease was observed in body weight, height, Body Mass Index (BMI), and body fat percentage in both sexes. Age-related remodeling of body composition was further reflected in somatotype patterns: while endomorphy declined in males, both endomorphy and mesomorphy decreased progressively in females. Across all age groups, mesomorphy remained more dominant than endomorphy, suggesting relative preservation of muscularity. In conclusion, this study demonstrates that the Endo-Mesomorph somatotype is predominant among older adults in Türkiye, with notable age- and sex-related differences: changes include a decline in endomorphy in males, while both endomorphy and mesomorphy decrease in females.

From floods to cyclones: Family structure and fertility preferences across climate-exposed regions of Bangladesh.

Ahmed KJ, Atiqul Haq SM, Siddhanta A

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 41320641 · Publisher ↗

Bangladesh experiences frequent extreme weather events (EWEs) that are associated with various dimensions of human life, including fertility preferences. This study examines associations among EWEs, family structure (nuc... Bangladesh experiences frequent extreme weather events (EWEs) that are associated with various dimensions of human life, including fertility preferences. This study examines associations among EWEs, family structure (nuclear vs. joint families), and fertility preferences in two climatically distinct regions of Bangladesh. The research was conducted in Chattogram district (cyclone-exposed) and Sunamganj district (flood-exposed), with two villages selected from each district based on high vulnerability to their respective EWEs. Data were collected through structured questionnaires administered to 414 married women of reproductive age (15-49 years) with at least one child, supplemented by 17 in-depth interviews exploring underlying motivations and experiences. Results show significant differences in fertility preferences between nuclear and joint family structures across both climate-vulnerable areas. Women in nuclear families expressed higher fertility preferences compared to those in joint families, with this pattern more pronounced in flood-exposed area (Sunamganj) than cyclone-exposed area (Chattogram). Qualitative findings indicate that family structure shows relationships with adaptive strategies for EWEs. Multiple factors appeared linked to fertility preferences across different family types, including perceived advantages of larger families for disaster coping, intergenerational support systems, spatial constraints, availability of adult male members, contraceptive use, and access to government/NGO assistance. These findings suggest that family structure represents an important but underexplored variable in understanding climate-fertility associations in vulnerable regions.

Season of birth in Puerto Rico: Rethinking changes in patterns using 90 years of births occurring under US occupation.

Santos-Lozada AR, De Jesús Álvarez W

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 41089038 · Full text

This article examines birth seasonality in Puerto Rico and explores whether patterns shift during periods of economic transformation. We compiled monthly birth counts for approximately 5.64 million births occurring from... This article examines birth seasonality in Puerto Rico and explores whether patterns shift during periods of economic transformation. We compiled monthly birth counts for approximately 5.64 million births occurring from 1935 to 2024. Data sources include reports to U.S. agencies (1935-1966), a prior publication (1967-1971), and the Puerto Rico Vital Statistics System (1972-2024). To assess the temporal concentration, we calculated a seasonal index of births and modeled 5-year patterns with LOESS curves. We identified four distinct seasonal patterns. From 1943 to 1949, births peaked in April - May. Between 1950 and 1954, this peak declined as a new one emerged from August to October. Beginning in 1955, a third pattern appeared, with fewer births early in the year and a peak in the second half. This pattern remained stable until about 2010. After 2010, we observe (1) a narrowing of early-year minimums, (2) increased within-period variability, and (3) a decline in December, though (4) the August to November peak persists. These changes align with economic transitions that occurred under US occupation, bringing forth the need to reexamine the hypothesis of cultural or media influence in future studies. Given observed patterns, future research should explore the role that economic shifts may have in shaping birth seasonality in Puerto Rico.

Characteristics of adherence to the Mediterranean diet and its relationship with deprivation in patients with cardiovascular-related conditions.

Öncü E, Güven Y, Vayisoğlu SK

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 41085566 · Publisher ↗

Despite preventing cardiovascular events, adherence to the Mediterranean Diet (MedDiet) is declining globally. This study assessed adherence to the MedDiet and its association with material, social, and health-related de... Despite preventing cardiovascular events, adherence to the Mediterranean Diet (MedDiet) is declining globally. This study assessed adherence to the MedDiet and its association with material, social, and health-related deprivation among patients with cardiovascular conditions. Data from 328 patients in a southern Turkish city between December 2022 and August 2023 were collected using a Personal Information Form, the Mediterranean Diet Adherence Scale, and the Deprivation Questionnaire, and analyzed using logistic regression and decision tree analysis. Participants' mean age was 64.0 ± 10.2 years, and 50.6% were women. The mean MedDiet adherence score was 6.37 ± 2.54 (range: 1-12). Longer disease duration was associated with higher adherence in stroke, heart failure, and coronary artery disease, but not hypertension. Male gender (OR = 3.556, 95% CI 2.107-6.000) increased the odds of low MedDiet adherence, whereas older age (OR = 0.957, 95% CI 0.933-0.982) and active effort to follow the diet (OR = 0.538, 95% CI 0.405-0.714) decreased the odds. Decision tree analysis highlighted deprivation as a key factor, with gender and rural residence contributing to disparities. Overall, adherence remains suboptimal, particularly for fish, nuts, and olive oil. Deprived individuals, especially men and rural women, need targeted interventions and policies support for dietary access and secondary prevention.

Research on the influencing factors and mechanism of regional death pattern in China based on functional neural network method.

Li T, Li H

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 41084389 · Publisher ↗

The variation in age-specific death probability is closely linked to demographic, socioeconomic, and geographical factors. The present study employs a functional neural network regression model to examine the influence o... The variation in age-specific death probability is closely linked to demographic, socioeconomic, and geographical factors. The present study employs a functional neural network regression model to examine the influence of these factors on regional death patterns in China, with a specific focus on individuals aged 40 and above, from a nonlinear perspective. In comparison with conventional linear models, this approach is shown to more effectively capture the intricate relationships present in death patterns, thereby enhancing both the predictive performance and the interpretability of the results. Key findings include: (1) Fifteen key factors influencing regional death patterns are identified, with gender and urban-rural status emerging as the most significant. (2) Educational level has a significant impact on death probability in the 40-44 age group. After the age of 45, probabilities are increasingly affected by climate and economic conditions, while healthcare becomes crucial for those aged 60 and above. (3) Some factors exert different levels of influence on death probability across age groups. (4) Interactions between factors, particularly between urban-rural status and other factors, affect model outputs.

Status, despair, and epigenetic age acceleration: Chains of risk?

Das A

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40729525 · Publisher ↗

Biological age acceleration predicts multiple "diseases of aging." Objective and subjective social statuses have both been prospectively linked to this outcome. An established chain-of-risk framework suggests that "effec... Biological age acceleration predicts multiple "diseases of aging." Objective and subjective social statuses have both been prospectively linked to this outcome. An established chain-of-risk framework suggests that "effects" of each may be mediated by one's subsequent structural position. A separate deaths-of-despair literature identifies a person's sense of futility as another potential link. Such chains remain underexplored. The current study used data from three waves (2008-2016) of the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) to fill these gaps. The analysis was done through a counterfactual regression-with-residuals (RWR) approach. Asimulated decline in a person's objective but not subjective status predicted their age acceleration 8 years later. Contrary to chain-of-risk conceptions, intermediate social standing did not channel effects. Neither did despair. Findings were more consistent with a direct "material shocks" explanation for status-aging linkages than an indirect or psychosocial one. Implications for aging theory and for interventions are discussed.

Fast and slow aging in Brazil: An analysis of inequalities in population dynamics across social groups.

Gonçalves A, Alves LC

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40621742 · Publisher ↗

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the inequalities of population aging in Brazil by a new measure - relative age combined with characteristics approach. METHODS: Data from the 2015-2016 Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSI-B... OBJECTIVES: To analyze the inequalities of population aging in Brazil by a new measure - relative age combined with characteristics approach. METHODS: Data from the 2015-2016 Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Aging (ELSI-Brazil) were analyzed. Population subgroups over 50 years old had their relative ages calculated, considering schooling level and self-reported skin color/race. Handgrip strength was employed as a physical health indicator. RESULTS: Results show that Brazilians of the same birth cohort can have more than 10 years of difference between their relative ages. Depending on the schooling level, Brazilians can present characteristics of people 10 years younger (or older) compared with those in the same chronological age. Males who declared themselves Brown have their relative ages up to 4.9 years higher compared with those in the same chronological age and White.

Analysis of fertility policy differences based on policy continuity and policy effectiveness in China.

Chen T, Hou P, Wang B … +1 more , Yang J

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40608994 · Publisher ↗

Fertility policy directly affects the fertility decisions of residents' families, and has the greatest impact on the daily lives of China's residents and on the country's economic and social development. In recent years,... Fertility policy directly affects the fertility decisions of residents' families, and has the greatest impact on the daily lives of China's residents and on the country's economic and social development. In recent years, as the demographic situation has changed, China's fertility policy has undergone a series of adjustments, and the government has implemented different incentives in the legal system, child care, education, and maternity insurance to stimulate fertility intention. This is a major shift in China's fertility policy from "family planning" to "fertility support." In the process of policy adjustment, a series of problems emerged. First, the continuous adjustment of the fertility policy causes information gaps among departments at different levels, thus leading to coordination difficulties and a lack of responsibility between the upper and lower levels of policy implementation. Second, the implementation of the two-child policy is ineffective, and its incentive effect fails to meet the expected standard. Therefore, this paper explores the similarities and policy effectiveness of fertility policies and uses the LDA thematic clustering model, cosine similarity distance algorithm, and PMC index evaluation system to quantitatively analyze fertility policies in different periods. The results are as follows: (1) due to changes in China's demographic structure, China's fertility policy has adjusted significantly during the universal two-child period, and its policy content and specific measures have changed dramatically compared with those of the previous period, while China's fertility policy has stabilized during the universal three-child period. (2) In the policy effectiveness evaluation, most policies have undetailed long-, medium-, and short-term goals and lack adequate policy guarantees. Therefore, to build a perfect fertility support system, the government needs to comprehensively consider the synergy of policy measures, the strengthening of policy guarantee programs, and the enhancement of policy effectiveness in the formulation of relevant policies, to continuously make policies more targeted, scientific, and effective.

The impact of husband's work disability on wife's employment decisions in rural China.

Song Z, Shen Z, Zheng J

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40608980 · Publisher ↗

Work disability has become a global public health problem and places a considerable burden on individuals and families. This paper uses data from the China Labor-force Dynamic Survey to investigate the impact of husband'... Work disability has become a global public health problem and places a considerable burden on individuals and families. This paper uses data from the China Labor-force Dynamic Survey to investigate the impact of husband's work disability on wife's employment decisions in rural areas of China. Estimation results do not indicate a disability-related added worker effect but show a significant caregiver effect; wives of disabled husbands experience a reduction in the likelihood of employment participation. Results also show that a husband's work disability leads to a lower likelihood that the wife will engage in self-employment rather than wage employment. This may be because the flexibility of self-employment helps women to adjust their labor patterns to care for disabled husbands. The mechanism analysis demonstrates that the disability of husbands does lead to a greater likelihood that the wife will provide more care to the family while at the same time, increasing the household health expenditure.

Rethinking fertility through Marx: Alienation and demographic change.

Matsuura H

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40405335 · Publisher ↗

Abstract loading — click title to view on PubMed.

The demographic transition as a consequence of alienation in the industrial societies.

Kiaris H

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40289531 · Publisher ↗

Abstract loading — click title to view on PubMed.

Tracking of factors affecting Chinese women's fertility intentions from childhood to adulthood: Under birth-control policy shift.

Lan M

Biodemography Soc Biol · 2025 · PMID 40198725 · Publisher ↗

China experienced a rapid fertility decline in recent decades. Fertility intention as a strong predictor of actual behavior has attracted much attention. Yet, there is not much literature to analyze Chinese women's ferti... China experienced a rapid fertility decline in recent decades. Fertility intention as a strong predictor of actual behavior has attracted much attention. Yet, there is not much literature to analyze Chinese women's fertility intention from a life-course framework. This study attempts to shed light on the relationship between the formation of women's fertility concepts and their growth trajectory and highlights the policy effect on fertility intentions during the policy-shift process. Using data from the China Labor-force Dynamics Survey (CLDS) collected in 2014, 2016 and 2018, I tracked those factors affecting Chinese childbearing-age women's fertility intentions. The changes in women's intentions for a second child and for the ideal number of children were estimated by logistic regressions respectively, and propensity score matching (PSM) was used to test the robustness of results. Adult women's fertility intentions were associated with their childhood family background, and the sibsize effect on their fertility intentions was found to be significantly positive. Compared with socio-economic characteristics, the influence of their self-rated health (SRH) and subjective well-being (SWB) on fertility intention was more prominent. The policy effect on the changes in women's fertility intentions was confirmed. The intergenerational preference from parents to their daughters, or/and the intimate relationship among siblings may contribute to women's intentions for more children.
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